Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $154,445$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(1.94 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{148,130.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 53.3)}}\) (asimptote \(148,130.3\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7,878$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(1.32 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,405.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 44.7)}}\) (asimptote \(7,405.9\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $25,563$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $164,769$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(3.15 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{156,862.4}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 32.3)}}\) (asimptote \(156,862.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,563$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(831 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,421.0}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 32.4)}}\) (asimptote \(4,421.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $31,259$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $27,762$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(110 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,092.1}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 88.5)}}\) (asimptote \(39,092.1\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $220$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(6.16 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{303.5}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 50.2)}}\) (asimptote \(303.5\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $14,643$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,169$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(3.6 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(35.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,621.7}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 37.3)}}\) (asimptote \(16,621.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $285$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(67.5 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{277.2}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 27.7)}}\) (asimptote \(277.2\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,006$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $35,192$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(683 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{44,975.5}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 83.9)}}\) (asimptote \(44,975.5\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $266$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(20 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{270.6}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 45.6)}}\) (asimptote \(270.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,588$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $87,142$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.12 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{112,820.6}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 67.4)}}\) (asimptote \(112,820.6\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $525$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(40.5 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{837.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 59.7)}}\) (asimptote \(837.9\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,311$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $949$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(257 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{911.9}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.1)}}\) (asimptote \(911.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $17$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(7.48 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17.0}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 15.4)}}\) (asimptote \(17.0\))
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $142$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,433$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(600 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{91,969.3}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 86.0)}}\) (asimptote \(91,969.3\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $40$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(2.39 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.0\) days)
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,956$ on 2020-06-01